Serie A . Jor. 6

Napoli vs Spezia analysis

Napoli Spezia
90 ELO 74
10.6% Tilt 0.6%
25º General ELO ranking 709º
Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
80%
Napoli
13.4%
Draw
6.6%
Spezia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
Napoli
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
Spezia
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-11%
-10%
Spezia

Points and table prediction

Napoli
Their league position
Spezia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
31
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Napoli
Spezia
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Napoli
Spezia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2022
NAP
Napoli
4 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
18%
21%
60%
89 95 6 0
03 Sep. 2022
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Napoli
NAP
40%
24%
36%
89 86 3 0
31 Aug. 2022
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
78%
14%
7%
89 76 13 0
28 Aug. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
31%
24%
45%
89 84 5 0
24 Aug. 2022
NAP
Napoli
3 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUS
87%
9%
4%
89 54 35 0

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2022
SPE
Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna
BOL
43%
26%
31%
74 76 2 0
31 Aug. 2022
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia
SPE
76%
16%
8%
74 90 16 0
27 Aug. 2022
SPE
Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo
SAS
26%
24%
50%
74 82 8 0
20 Aug. 2022
INT
Inter
3 - 0
Spezia
SPE
84%
11%
5%
74 92 18 0
14 Aug. 2022
SPE
Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli
EMP
40%
26%
34%
73 77 4 +1
X