Cup Winners Cup . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Napoli vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CES
0 - 2
NAP
30%
29%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
NAP
2 - 0
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NAP
3 - 2
USF
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
BER
0 - 2
AND
21%
25%
55%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
AND
1 - 0
SDL
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
SOU
2 - 1
AND
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
AND
2 - 0
KVK
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
CHA
2 - 0
AND
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |