Napier City Rovers vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
3º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
NAP
83%
11%
5%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
WEL
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 5
NAP
5%
10%
85%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
5 - 0
WKA
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
NWA
3 - 3
STO
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
PET
26%
20%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
7 - 0
NWA
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 4
WEL
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 4
WKA
26%
20%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |