Nantes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NAN
3 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 0
TOU
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 1
ANG
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
AMI
0 - 2
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
SED
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
ETG
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
MET
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |