Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 2
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 1
LEN
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MPL
1 - 1
NAN
63%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 1
REI
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NÎM
0 - 1
LIL
15%
23%
63%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |