Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MPL
4 - 0
NAN
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
3 - 2
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
56%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
CAE
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ETG
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |