Ligue 1 . Jor. 15

Nantes vs Bastia analysis

Nantes Bastia
77 ELO 76
-12.5% Tilt -18.7%
625º General ELO ranking 1464º
16º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Nantes
26.9%
Draw
29.8%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Nantes
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.8%
Win probability
Bastia
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nantes
-9%
+3%
Bastia

ELO progression

Nantes
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nantes
Nantes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2015
MON
Monaco
1 - 0
Nantes
NAN
58%
25%
17%
77 85 8 0
07 Nov. 2015
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 1
Nantes
NAN
53%
26%
21%
78 79 1 -1
04 Nov. 2015
NIC
Nice
1 - 2
Nantes
NAN
55%
26%
20%
78 82 4 0
01 Nov. 2015
NAN
Nantes
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
33%
26%
41%
79 82 3 -1
28 Oct. 2015
BOU
Bourg-Péronnas
3 - 2
Nantes
NAN
28%
28%
45%
78 63 15 +1

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2015
BAS
Bastia
1 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
61%
24%
16%
77 68 9 0
07 Nov. 2015
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Bastia
BAS
47%
27%
26%
77 81 4 0
31 Oct. 2015
BAS
Bastia
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
47%
25%
28%
77 75 2 0
27 Oct. 2015
BAS
Bastia
0 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
43%
27%
31%
77 78 1 0
24 Oct. 2015
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
47%
26%
27%
77 79 2 0
X