Nantes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
SED
2 - 0
NAN
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
REI
0 - 1
NAN
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 4
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 2
NAN
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 1
LHA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
IST
3 - 2
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 4
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
AMI
1 - 0
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
ORL
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |