Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 0
CBC
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAN
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BEI
0 - 1
NAN
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 2
KUN
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 1
NAN
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
JIA
1 - 1
BEI
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
CBC
0 - 2
JIA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
KUN
6 - 0
JIA
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
JIA
1 - 3
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 1
NAN
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |