Nancy vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REN
3 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 1
ASS
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
CAE
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PSG
3 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TFC
19%
26%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |