Nancy vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASN
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ASN
1 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
SOC
2 - 2
ASN
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 0
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
REN
4 - 1
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
MET
4 - 2
SED
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
NÎM
0 - 0
MET
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
MET
2 - 2
LYO
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
NIC
6 - 0
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
MET
1 - 1
STR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |