Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
SOC
0 - 4
ASN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ASN
3 - 1
GAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LHA
0 - 2
ASN
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
ASN
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
NIO
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 3
ORL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 1
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
RED
71%
20%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
LOR
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |