Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 4
TFC
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 1
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 2
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PFC
1 - 1
AUX
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AUX
0 - 0
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
AUX
3 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AMI
1 - 2
AUX
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |