Namungo vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
5º
31
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 3
TAN
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 1
GGF
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 0
NAM
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
NAM
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 1
ALH
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MBE
1 - 2
RUV
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
MBE
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MBE
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 0
MBE
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |