Najran vs Arar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
THU
0 - 2
NAJ
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
NAJ
0 - 2
SAH
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ALK
1 - 2
NAJ
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALS
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALK
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
OHO
1 - 1
AFC
62%
24%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALD
37%
25%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
ALS
3 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALJ
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 5
ALH
17%
27%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |