Najran vs Al-Diriyah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
NAJ
2 - 1
NAH
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
NAJ
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAJ
2 - 1
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SAH
1 - 1
NAJ
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAJ
3 - 1
ALK
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Diriyah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ALD
0 - 0
OHO
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALD
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ALD
0 - 1
ALH
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
0 - 2
ALD
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |