Nairn County vs Wick Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
7º
14º
8º
36
11º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 3
NAI
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
3 - 2
KEI
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
6 - 0
NAI
87%
10%
3%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRX
2 - 1
NAI
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAI
4 - 0
INV
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 0
WIC
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
WIC
3 - 2
FOR
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 3
JSW
10%
13%
77%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 3
FRA
3%
10%
87%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 5
TUR
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |