Nairn County vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NAI
4 - 0
THR
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NAI
0 - 6
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
3 - 1
NAI
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAI
2 - 1
KEI
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
STR
0 - 2
NAI
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
LOS
0 - 2
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PET
0 - 2
FRA
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FRA
7 - 0
HUN
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
INV
1 - 4
FRA
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 2
BRO
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -3 |