Nairn County vs Fort William analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NAI
4 - 0
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NAI
1 - 3
BRE
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAI
2 - 2
FOR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRO
4 - 0
NAI
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
NAI
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HUN
3 - 0
FOR
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
THE
3 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 10
INV
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 8
BRO
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
FOR
8%
13%
78%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | -1 |