Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 1
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
URA
1 - 0
NAG
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
JUB
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
FCY
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NAG
5 - 2
ROA
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
FCT
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
CER
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
GAM
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CER
4 - 0
SHI
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |