Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
15º
43
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 18% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
57% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
3 - 6
DIN
20%
24%
55%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
MIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
NAF
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MKK
2 - 1
NAF
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 3
ISL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 1
DNP
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 4
NEM
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 1
GOM
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |