Naft Maysan vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability

1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
30%
Win probability

0.88
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-41%
-23%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
7º
19º
12º
51
8º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
127 | 129 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
96 | 98 |
2º
|
45% | |
![]() |
3º
|
95 | 97 |
3º
|
56% | |
![]() |
4º
|
88 | 90 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
80 | 84 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
79 | 80 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
73 | 74 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
66 | 67 |
8º
|
80% | |
![]() |
9º
|
65 | 66 |
10º
|
25% | |
![]() |
10º
|
63 | 64 |
13º
|
1% | |
![]() |
11º
|
63 | 64 |
11º
|
26% | |
![]() |
12º
|
63 | 64 |
12º
|
27% | |
![]() |
13º
|
62 | 66 |
9º
|
9% | |
![]() |
14º
|
61 | 63 |
14º
|
38% | |
![]() |
15º
|
60 | 62 |
15º
|
60% | |
![]() |
16º
|
58 | 59 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
51 | 52 |
18º
|
29% | |
![]() |
18º
|
50 | 52 |
17º
|
51% | |
![]() |
19º
|
32 | 33 |
19º
|
100% | |
![]() |
20º
|
16 | 18 |
20º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion | 0% | 0% |
Mid-table | 100% | 29% |
Relegation playoffs | 0% | 71% |
Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression

BAG

NAF

NSC

ALS

KAR

ALN
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Maysan

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO NAF | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
![]() 1 - 2
![]() NAF
45%
27%
28%
|
218 | 235 | 17 | +1 |
15 Nov. 2021 |
NAF
![]() 0 - 0
![]() KAR
48%
27%
26%
|
218 | 132 | 86 | 0 |
05 Nov. 2021 |
NSC
![]() 0 - 0
![]() NAF
47%
27%
26%
|
218 | 247 | 29 | 0 |
30 Oct. 2021 |
NAF
![]() 0 - 3
![]() ALZ
39%
28%
33%
|
220 | 395 | -175 | -2 |
26 Oct. 2021 |
NAF
![]() 2 - 1
![]() SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
218 | 245 | -27 | +1 |
Matches
Baghdad FC

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO BAG | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
![]() 2 - 0
![]() SFC
45%
27%
28%
|
202 | 241 | -39 | +2 |
16 Nov. 2021 |
QAS
![]() 0 - 0
![]() BAG
47%
27%
26%
|
202 | 235 | 33 | 0 |
04 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
![]() 1 - 1
![]() ALS
45%
27%
28%
|
202 | 251 | -49 | 0 |
31 Oct. 2021 |
ALQ
![]() 2 - 1
![]() BAG
53%
25%
22%
|
203 | 396 | 193 | -1 |
25 Oct. 2021 |
WAS
![]() 2 - 0
![]() BAG
48%
27%
26%
|
205 | 296 | 91 | -2 |