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Iraq League. Matchday 11

Naft Maysan vs Baghdad FC analysis

Naft Maysan Baghdad FC
15 ELO 14
-26% Tilt -16%
6888º General ELO ranking 5756º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.4%
Naft Maysan
31.6%
Draw
30%
Baghdad FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
Naft Maysan
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
30%
Win probability
Baghdad FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Naft Maysan
-41%
-23%
Baghdad FC

Points and table prediction

Naft Maysan
Their league position
Baghdad FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
19º
12º
51
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al Shorta
127
129
100%
Naft Al-Wasat
96
98
45%
Al Talaba
95
97
56%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
88
90
100%
Al Zawraa
80
84
100%
Al Naft
79
80
100%
Al Najaf
73
74
100%
Al Kahrabaa
66
67
80%
Newroz SC
65
66
10º
25%
Al Sinaah
10º
63
64
13º
1%
Naft Maysan
11º
63
64
11º
26%
Al-Qasim
12º
63
64
12º
27%
Zakho
13º
62
66
9%
Erbil
14º
61
63
14º
38%
Naft Al-Basra
15º
60
62
15º
60%
Al Karkh
16º
58
59
16º
100%
Baghdad FC
17º
51
52
18º
29%
Al Diwaniya
18º
50
52
17º
51%
Al Minaa
19º
32
33
19º
100%
Samarra
20º
16
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Naft Maysan
Baghdad FC
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 29%
Relegation playoffs
0% 71%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Baghdad FC
BAG
Naft Maysan
NAF
Newroz SC
NSC
Al Shorta
ALS
Al Karkh
KAR
Al Najaf
ALN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Naft Maysan
Naft Maysan
1%
X%
2%
ELO NAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2021
ALM
Al Minaa
1 - 2
Naft Maysan
NAF
45%
27%
28%
218 235 17 +1
15 Nov. 2021
NAF
Naft Maysan
0 - 0
Al Karkh
KAR
48%
27%
26%
218 132 86 0
05 Nov. 2021
NSC
Newroz SC
0 - 0
Naft Maysan
NAF
47%
27%
26%
218 247 29 0
30 Oct. 2021
NAF
Naft Maysan
0 - 3
Al Zawraa
ALZ
39%
28%
33%
220 395 -175 -2
26 Oct. 2021
NAF
Naft Maysan
2 - 1
Samarra
SFC
46%
27%
27%
218 245 -27 +1

Matches

Baghdad FC
Baghdad FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2021
BAG
Baghdad FC
2 - 0
Samarra
SFC
45%
27%
28%
202 241 -39 +2
16 Nov. 2021
QAS
Al-Qasim
0 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
47%
27%
26%
202 235 33 0
04 Nov. 2021
BAG
Baghdad FC
1 - 1
Al Sinaah
ALS
45%
27%
28%
202 251 -49 0
31 Oct. 2021
ALQ
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 - 1
Baghdad FC
BAG
53%
25%
22%
203 396 193 -1
25 Oct. 2021
WAS
Naft Al-Wasat
2 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
48%
27%
26%
205 296 91 -2