Nacional vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VAR
3 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 2
IMO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
VST
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 3
ESP
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 1
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |