Nacional vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAC
80%
13%
6%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 3
SAN
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 3
NAC
10%
16%
74%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
GFC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
LEX
9%
16%
75%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VIZ
2 - 1
LEX
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEX
3 - 2
BEN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COV
2 - 0
LEX
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |