Nacional vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAF
3 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAF
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |