Nacional vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
5 - 0
NAC
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 0
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 2
BEN
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ACV
2 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |