Nacional vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
FEI
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 4
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
LEX
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
ESA
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |