Nacional SP vs Votuporanguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
4 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 3
DES
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
VOT
2 - 2
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JOS
0 - 1
VOT
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
VOT
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
VOT
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |