Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 0
DRT
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
JWI
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 2
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
CMV
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |