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Apertura Uruguay. Matchday 3

Nacional Sud América
69 ELO 47
-24% Tilt 33%
238º General ELO ranking 2029º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Nacional
23.9%
Draw
21.9%
Sud América

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
Nacional
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
Sud América
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Basic stats

54
46
POS
15
9
SOT
5
7
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
34
30
FRK
69
47
ELO
1.7
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Nacional
Their league position
Sud América
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
15º
7
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Nacional
Sud América