Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LFC
0 - 2
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 2
CUE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
CEL
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
FEN
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
MWA
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |