Nacional vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 0
PLA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 2
DEF
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |