Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 1
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MWA
3 - 0
CSY
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |