Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 4
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 3
JUN
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TAL
5 - 1
LFC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
LFC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 1
PLA
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
LFC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |