Nacional vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
CSY
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
FEN
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
REN
0 - 3
FEN
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 2
TOR
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |