Nacional vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSC
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FEN
2 - 2
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
FEN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 1
FEN
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 2
PEÑ
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |