Nacional vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAU
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 0
CSC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PLA
3 - 0
CSC
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
DEF
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |