Nacional vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
BRA
30%
25%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALB
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
MWA
32%
27%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
CSC
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 2
TOR
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
CSC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
27%
51%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |