Nacional vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 1
UCO
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
ARG
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 3
ARG
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |