Nacional de Patos vs Perilima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
TRE
22%
24%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
SCL
2 - 3
NAC
12%
17%
72%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
4 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
ATL
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Perilima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
SPC
3 - 0
PER
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PER
2 - 1
CSP
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 1
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 2
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |