Nacional de Patos vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 3
NAC
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CSP
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
15%
25%
61%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
9%
22%
69%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
9%
18%
74%
|
61 | 11 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
AUT
80%
15%
5%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |