Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEP
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
LQE
1 - 0
RÑU
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
LQE
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 0
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
LQE
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |