Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AME
1 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
39%
28%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
LIB
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
OLI
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
RES
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 2
OLI
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |