Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 4
NAC
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |