Nacional vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LQE
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLI
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
RPA
4 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |