Nacional AM vs São Raimundo AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 0
NAC
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
NAC
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
NAC
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAS
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Raimundo AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAN
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
PRI
32%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
6 - 2
NAC
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |