Nacional AM vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
REM
6 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
REM
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAY
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |