Nacional AM vs Ji-Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
4 - 2
NAC
61%
20%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
GUA
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2020 |
PIM
0 - 3
PAR
16%
20%
65%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAC
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |