NAC Breda vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 4
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 3
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
1 - 3
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HBS
2 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HBS
2 - 1
HSC
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 2
HBS
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HBS
2 - 1
LIE
40%
24%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 4
HBS
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |