NAC Breda vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
6 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
OFI
41%
26%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
TWE
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 2
ADO
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BVO
1 - 1
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 2
TWE
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |